Conversations With Individuals on the Fence about CV-19 Vaccination: Analysis of Lives Saved by Vaccine vs. Natural Infection Mortality and Other Reflections.

As of June 15, 2021, from 672,000 to 912,000 deaths have been averted through vaccination of 48% of the US population. Because 52% remain unvaccinated, 728,000 to 988,000 lives remain at risk. These deaths can be spared, and the pandemic stopped in its tracks provided a final national vaccination rate of 84% is achieved. We aim to demonstrate in our analysis the number of lives saved that can be attributed to CV-19 vaccination vs the mortality rate of natural infection seen in unvaccinated individuals. However, time is short given the recent exponential rise of the highly contagious SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant. Delta infection results in a thousand-fold increase in viral load and a transmissibility 2.25x that of the original SARS-CoV-2 strain. Predominance of the Delta variant has already resulted in Covid-19 surges in area with low vaccination rates. An aggressive and timely vaccination campaign is being attempted. We hope our analysis helps convince individuals 'on the fence' that vaccination is essential if the pandemic is to be ended in the United States.

Community-Level Factors Associated with COVID-19 Cases and Testing Equity in King County, Washington.

Individual-level Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) case data suggest that certain populations may be more impacted by the pandemic. However, few studies have considered the communities from which positive cases are prevalent, and the variations in testing rates between communities. In this study, we assessed community factors that were associated with COVID-19 testing and test positivity at the census tract level for the Seattle, King County, Washington region at the summer peak of infection in July 2020. Multivariate Poisson regression was used to estimate confirmed case counts, adjusted for testing numbers, which were associated with socioeconomic status (SES) indicators such as poverty, educational attainment, transportation cost, as well as with communities with high proportions of people of color. Multivariate models were also used to examine factors associated with testing rates, and found disparities in testing for communities of color and communities with transportation cost barriers. These results demonstrate the ability to identify tract-level indicators of COVID-19 risk and specific communities that are most vulnerable to COVID-19 infection, as well as highlight the ongoing need to ensure access to disease control resources, including information and education, testing, and future vaccination programs in low-SES and highly diverse communities.